Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.038847 0.041945 0.045199 0.048874 0.052917 0.057235 0.062205
2025-05-04 0.033712 0.038060 0.042879 0.048634 0.055350 0.062972 0.072324
2025-05-11 0.030291 0.035350 0.041185 0.048458 0.057342 0.067919 0.081584
2025-05-18 0.027696 0.033184 0.039722 0.048157 0.058855 0.072112 0.090004
2025-05-25 0.025732 0.031524 0.038616 0.048041 0.060392 0.076245 0.098493
2025-06-01 0.023849 0.029773 0.037198 0.047319 0.060964 0.079026 0.105268
2025-06-08 0.022158 0.028120 0.035747 0.046380 0.061082 0.081092 0.111094
2025-06-15 0.020867 0.026888 0.034736 0.045910 0.061732 0.083842 0.118012
2025-06-22 0.019745 0.025798 0.033827 0.045482 0.062356 0.086528 0.124972
2025-06-29 0.018587 0.024586 0.032666 0.044601 0.062229 0.088052 0.130218
2025-07-06 0.018003 0.024122 0.032502 0.045110 0.064132 0.092682 0.140650
2025-07-13 0.017309 0.023464 0.032017 0.045102 0.065232 0.096123 0.149420
2025-07-20 0.016826 0.023086 0.031918 0.045667 0.067258 0.101179 0.161388
2025-07-27 0.016143 0.022384 0.031307 0.045415 0.067974 0.104174 0.170094
2025-08-03 0.015536 0.021761 0.030777 0.045246 0.068795 0.107371 0.179414
2025-08-10 0.014945 0.021133 0.030204 0.044966 0.069401 0.110222 0.188339
2025-08-17 0.014441 0.020609 0.029759 0.044859 0.070269 0.113562 0.198455
2025-08-24 0.013833 0.019902 0.028999 0.044194 0.070142 0.115127 0.205288
2025-08-31 0.013218 0.019158 0.028147 0.043329 0.069609 0.115913 0.210632
2025-09-07 0.012741 0.018609 0.027575 0.042897 0.069795 0.118001 0.218768
2025-09-14 0.012302 0.018100 0.027044 0.042503 0.070017 0.120156 0.227226
2025-09-21 0.011797 0.017469 0.026292 0.041691 0.069433 0.120736 0.232389
2025-09-28 0.011591 0.017304 0.026285 0.042159 0.071206 0.125950 0.248070